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OUTLETS DISAGREEWednesday 12 August 2026

Outlets disagree: The point difference between June and August polls: whether it represents a 10-point drop (from 52-32 to 49-39) or reflects a methodological change from…

newsday.com; politico.com

As published

7 pages captured at the time, in each outlet's own typography. Open one to read the copy held outside the publisher's control.

What this entry found

  • ONLY ONE OUTLET HAD THIS

    yonkerstimes.com carried 9 details no other outlet reported.

    • In character trait questioning, voters say Blakeman is 'tough' by 25 points and Hochul by 2 points
    • On being 'in touch with average New Yorkers,' Blakeman is underwater by 4 points and Hochul is underwater by 12 points
    • Voters say Blakeman is 'honest' by 5 points and Hochul is not by 2 points
    • Voters say Blakeman 'gets things done' by 8 points and Hochul by 5 points
    • Voters say Hochul will do a better job increasing affordable housing supply 51-35%
    • Voters say Hochul will do a better job making prices more affordable for average New Yorkers 48-41%
    • Voters say Hochul will do a better job developing New York's energy future 47-42%
    • Voters are closely divided on keeping New Yorkers safe, Hochul 47-44%
    • Voters are closely divided on addressing undocumented immigrants living in New York, 45-44% Hochul

How the poll was reported

5 of 6 stated across the articles in this entry.

  • The articles describe a sampled poll rather than an opt-in one.
  • Pollster: Siena University / Siena Research Institute.
  • Who was sampled: likely New York State voters.
  • Sample size: 811 likely New York voters.
  • Margin of error: plus or minus 4.6 percentage points.
  • When conducted: August 3 to 6, 2026.
  • Commissioned by: not stated in any article.
  • Question wording published: not in any article.

This lists what the articles said and did not say. A detail missing here may appear in the pollster's own release; it was not in the coverage.

7independent outlets
What happened, for context

Siena University released a poll of likely New York voters on August 12, 2026, showing Democratic Gov. Kathy Hochul leading Republican Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman 49-39% in the gubernatorial race. The 10-point lead represents a significant narrowing from a June poll of registered voters that showed Hochul ahead 52-32%. All outlets reported this same poll and its findings.

6 of 7 articles were readable. Headline only, no body text retrieved, for: newyorkupstate.com. Nothing below is drawn from those outlets beyond their headline.

Who reported it

  • foxnews.comINDEP
  • longisland.news12.comUNCLASSIFIED
  • newsday.comUNCLASSIFIED
  • newyorkupstate.comUNCLASSIFIED
  • politico.comINDEP
  • timestelegram.comUNCLASSIFIED
  • yonkerstimes.comUNCLASSIFIED

References

Carried by multiple outlets

  • Hochul leads Blakeman 49-39% in the Siena poll of likely votersfoxnews.com, longisland.news12.com, newsday.com, politico.com, yonkerstimes.com
  • The June poll of registered voters showed Hochul leading Blakeman 52-32%foxnews.com, longisland.news12.com, newsday.com, politico.com, yonkerstimes.com
  • This was Siena's first poll of likely voters in this election cyclenewsday.com, politico.com, yonkerstimes.com
  • In August 2022, Hochul led Lee Zeldin 53-39%foxnews.com, politico.com
  • Hochul ultimately won the 2022 election over Zeldin by 6 pointsfoxnews.com, politico.com
  • The margin of error for the poll is plus or minus 4.6 percentage pointsnewsday.com, yonkerstimes.com
  • and 10 more, not shown

Reported by one outlet only

  • Democratic Socialists of America received a negative 30-47% favorability rating from likely voters in New Yorkonly foxnews.com
  • Hochul is underperforming the Democratic ticket; her 10-point margin compares to a 16-point Democratic edge on the generic congressional ballotonly politico.com
  • In character trait questioning, voters say Blakeman is 'tough' by 25 points and Hochul by 2 pointsonly yonkerstimes.com
  • On being 'in touch with average New Yorkers,' Blakeman is underwater by 4 points and Hochul is underwater by 12 pointsonly yonkerstimes.com
  • Voters say Blakeman is 'honest' by 5 points and Hochul is not by 2 pointsonly yonkerstimes.com
  • Voters say Blakeman 'gets things done' by 8 points and Hochul by 5 pointsonly yonkerstimes.com

Reported unevenly

  • The point difference between June and August polls: whether it represents a 10-point drop (from 52-32 to 49-39) or reflects a methodological change from registered voters to likely votersstated by newsday.com, politico.com