How the poll was reported
5 of 6 stated across the articles in this entry.
- The articles describe a sampled poll rather than an opt-in one.
- Pollster: Toluna Harris Interactive.
- Commissioned by: broadcasters M6 and RTL.
- Who was sampled: French adults.
- Sample size: more than 1,700 French adults.
- When conducted: poll published Monday, 25 August 2026.
- Margin of error: not stated in any article.
- Question wording published: not in any article.
This lists what the articles said and did not say. A detail missing here may appear in the pollster's own release; it was not in the coverage.
A Harris-Interactive-Toluna poll commissioned by French broadcasters M6 and RTL, released Monday 25 August 2026, shows far-left leader Jean-Luc Melenchon as the most likely candidate to reach the second-round runoff against far-right candidate Marine Le Pen in France's 2027 presidential election. The poll indicates Melenchon would advance to the runoff against Le Pen in three of five first-round scenarios modeled, with Le Pen commanding a 16-point lead in every scenario tested.
5 of 6 articles were readable. Headline only, no body text retrieved, for: reuters.com. Nothing below is drawn from those outlets beyond their headline.
Who reported it
- reuters.comWIRE
- devdiscourse.comUNCLASSIFIED
- france24.comPUBLIC
- rfi.frUNCLASSIFIED
- today.rtl.luUNCLASSIFIED
- politico.euUNCLASSIFIED
References
- reuters.comFrench far-left leader Melenchon seen reaching presidential runoff, poll showsScreenshot as publishedOriginalcaptured 2026-08-25T13:46:32
- devdiscourse.comFrench far-left leader Melenchon seen reaching presidential runoff, poll showsScreenshot as publishedOriginalcaptured 2026-08-25T13:46:32
- france24.comFrench poll shows Le Pen's biggest challenger may be hard left's MelenchonScreenshot as publishedOriginalcaptured 2026-08-25T13:46:32
- politico.euFar-left firebrand Mélenchon gaining ground in French presidential race, poll showsScreenshot as publishedOriginalcaptured 2026-08-25T13:46:32
- rfi.frFrench poll shows Le Pen's biggest challenger may be hard left's MelenchonScreenshot as publishedOriginalcaptured 2026-08-25T13:46:32
- today.rtl.luFrench poll shows Le Pen's biggest challenger may be hard left's MelenchonScreenshot as publishedOriginalcaptured 2026-08-25T13:46:32
Carried by multiple outlets
- Pollster: Toluna Harris Interactive, commissioned by broadcasters M6 and RTLfrance24.com, rfi.fr, today.rtl.lu, politico.eu
- Sample: more than 1,700 French adultsfrance24.com, rfi.fr, today.rtl.lu
- Melenchon's polling level: between 16 and 17 percentfrance24.com, rfi.fr, today.rtl.lu
- Melenchon's polling increase from April: up from 12 percentfrance24.com, rfi.fr, today.rtl.lu
- In the poll's modeled scenarios, Melenchon would advance to the second round against Le Pen in three of five possible first-round scenariosfrance24.com, rfi.fr, today.rtl.lu
- In one scenario modeled, Melenchon would be neck and neck with Édouard Philippefrance24.com, rfi.fr, today.rtl.lu
- and 7 more, not shown
Reported by one outlet only
- Le Pen projects a lead of at least 16 points ahead of her nearest competitor in every scenario testedonly politico.eu
- Le Pen polling: between 35 and 38 percent of voting intentionsonly today.rtl.lu
- Politico characterizes the scenario of Melenchon facing Le Pen as 'Brussels' nightmare scenario' and 'a battle of extremes'only politico.eu





