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RECORDEDThursday 03 September 2026

The U.S. Geological Survey released a new study showing the probability of a major earthquake greater than magnitude 6.7 striking the San Francisco…

4 outlets, 4 independent sources, nothing anomalous.

As published

4 pages captured at the time, in each outlet's own typography. Open one to read the copy held outside the publisher's control.

abc7.com as published: Odds of major earthquake striking San Francisco Bay Area in next 30 years increasing, experts sayabc7.com2026-09-06 12:55:30abc7news.com as published: Odds of major earthquake striking San Francisco Bay Area in next 30 years increasing, USGS experts sayabc7news.com2026-09-06 12:55:30independent.co.uk as published: Ready for it? Experts say Bay Area earthquake risk is rising over 30 yearsindependent.co.uk2026-09-06 12:55:30yahoo.com as published: Ready for it? Experts say odds of major earthquake hitting the Bay Area in the next three decades are increasingyahoo.com2026-09-06 12:55:30
4independent outlets
What happened, for context

The U.S. Geological Survey released a new study showing the probability of a major earthquake greater than magnitude 6.7 striking the San Francisco Bay Area within the next 30 years has increased to 74%, up approximately 2 percentage points from the previous assessment conducted more than a decade ago. The San Andreas Fault saw the largest increase of 3.6 percentage points, while the Hayward-Rogers Creek fault has the highest estimated probability at 34.3%.

Who reported it

  • abc7.comINDEP
  • abc7news.comUNCLASSIFIED
  • independent.co.ukINDEP
  • yahoo.comUNCLASSIFIED

References

  • abc7.comOdds of major earthquake striking San Francisco Bay Area in next 30 years increasing, experts sayScreenshot as publishedOriginalcaptured 2026-09-06T12:55:30
  • abc7news.comOdds of major earthquake striking San Francisco Bay Area in next 30 years increasing, USGS experts sayScreenshot as publishedOriginalcaptured 2026-09-06T12:55:30
  • independent.co.ukReady for it? Experts say Bay Area earthquake risk is rising over 30 yearsScreenshot as publishedOriginalcaptured 2026-09-06T12:55:30
  • yahoo.comReady for it? Experts say odds of major earthquake hitting the Bay Area in the next three decades are increasingScreenshot as publishedOriginalcaptured 2026-09-06T12:55:30

Carried by multiple outlets

  • The U.S. Geological Survey released a new study showing the probability of a major earthquake greater than magnitude 6.7 hitting the San Francisco Bay Area within the next 30 years has increased to 74%abc7.com, abc7news.com, independent.co.uk, yahoo.com
  • The probability has increased by approximately 2 percentage points since the previous assessment conducted more than a decade agoabc7.com, abc7news.com, independent.co.uk, yahoo.com
  • The increased likelihood on different fault lines is because more time has passed without a major quake since the last study, resulting in tectonic stress buildupabc7.com, abc7news.com, independent.co.uk, yahoo.com
  • The San Andreas Fault saw the largest percentage increase, growing by 3.6% since the last studyabc7.com, abc7news.com, independent.co.uk, yahoo.com
  • The San Andreas Fault is the longest fault in California and capable of the biggest earthquakesabc7.com, abc7news.com, independent.co.uk, yahoo.com
  • Dr. Lucy Jones is a USGS seismologistabc7.com, abc7news.com, independent.co.uk, yahoo.com
  • and 5 more, not shown

Reported by one outlet only

  • An absolute worst case scenario for the Bay Area would be a linked rupture between the Hayward and Rogers Creek faults, potentially generating a 7.4 magnitude earthquakeonly abc7.com
  • East Bay residents got a reminder of earthquake risk in August when a small, but strong quake struck under the Oakland Zooonly abc7.com