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CONFIRMEDTuesday 08 September 2026

Since it is impossible to interview all voters in the country, polling institutes establish criteria to select a group of people to represent the population…

Checked against G1 Globo.

As published

5 pages captured at the time, in each outlet's own typography. Open one to read the copy held outside the publisher's control.

reuters.com as published: Lula, Flavio Bolsonaro tied in Brazil's election runoff, Quaest poll showsreuters.com2026-09-08 14:48:58japantimes.co.jp as published: Brazil’s Flavio Bolsonaro ties Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva in polls ahead of votejapantimes.co.jp2026-09-08 14:48:58srnnews.com as published: Lula, Flavio Bolsonaro tied in Brazil’s election runoff, Quaest poll showssrnnews.com2026-09-08 14:48:58taylorvilledailynews.com as published: Lula, Flavio Bolsonaro tied in Brazil’s election runoff, Quaest poll showstaylorvilledailynews.com2026-09-08 14:48:58theprint.in as published: Lula, Flavio Bolsonaro tied in Brazil’s election runoff, Quaest poll showstheprint.in2026-09-08 14:48:58

What this entry found

  • ONE SOURCE, MANY MASTHEADS

    5 outlets carried this. They resolve to 2 independent sources.

    A reader sampling these outlets received 2 accounts, not 5.

  • ONLY ONE OUTLET HAD THIS

    japantimes.co.jp carried 6 details no other outlet reported.

    • Flavio Bolsonaro has seized on turmoil at Brazil's Supreme Court to rally conservative voters
    • Justice Alexandre de Moraes oversaw the case that sent former President Jair Bolsonaro to prison for attempting a coup
    • Bolsonaro told supporters on Paulista Avenue during Independence Day celebrations Monday: 'We have to protect the Supreme Court from Alexandre de Moraes. That rotten orange cannot be allowed to taint the entire court.'
    • Evangelical pastor Silas Malafaia and other conservative figures demanded Moraes's removal
    • Sao Paulo Gov. Tarcisio de Freitas called for the court to fully investigate allegations surrounding Moraes
    • Bolsonaro had been gaining momentum as corruption allegations involving one of Lula's sons and a weakening economy weighed on the leftist president's reelection bid

How the poll was reported

5 of 6 stated across the articles in this entry.

  • No article states whether respondents were sampled or opted in. That distinction decides whether the figure can describe anyone beyond the people who answered.
  • Pollster: Quaest.
  • Commissioned by: Globo.
  • Sample size: 2,004 people.
  • Margin of error: 2 percentage points.
  • When conducted: September 3–6, 2026.
  • Who was sampled: not stated in any article.
  • Question wording published: not in any article.

This lists what the articles said and did not say. A detail missing here may appear in the pollster's own release; it was not in the coverage.

5outlets→2independent
What happened, for context

A Quaest poll commissioned by Globo and released September 7, 2026, shows Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and right-wing senator Flavio Bolsonaro tied at 41% each in a potential October runoff election. The poll represents a shift from a Quaest survey released September 2 that had Lula leading 42% to 41%.

4 of 5 articles were readable. Headline only, no body text retrieved, for: reuters.com. Nothing below is drawn from those outlets beyond their headline.

Who reported it

    • reuters.comWIRE
    • srnnews.comUNCLASSIFIED
    • taylorvilledailynews.comUNCLASSIFIED
    • theprint.inUNCLASSIFIED
    identical copy
  • japantimes.co.jpINDEP

References

Carried by multiple outlets

  • Lula and Flavio Bolsonaro are tied at 41% each in a simulated runoff, according to a Quaest poll commissioned by Globo released Monday, September 7, 2026srnnews.com, taylorvilledailynews.com, theprint.in, japantimes.co.jp
  • A Quaest poll released September 2 had Lula leading 42% to 41%srnnews.com, taylorvilledailynews.com, theprint.in
  • Quaest surveyed 2,004 people between September 3–6srnnews.com, taylorvilledailynews.com, theprint.in
  • The poll has a margin of error of 2 percentage pointssrnnews.com, taylorvilledailynews.com, theprint.in
  • Flavio Bolsonaro is the eldest son of former President Jair Bolsonarosrnnews.com, taylorvilledailynews.com, theprint.in
  • The runoff election is scheduled for Octoberjapantimes.co.jp, srnnews.com, taylorvilledailynews.com, theprint.in

Reported by one outlet only

  • Flavio Bolsonaro has seized on turmoil at Brazil's Supreme Court to rally conservative votersonly japantimes.co.jp
  • Justice Alexandre de Moraes oversaw the case that sent former President Jair Bolsonaro to prison for attempting a couponly japantimes.co.jp
  • Bolsonaro told supporters on Paulista Avenue during Independence Day celebrations Monday: 'We have to protect the Supreme Court from Alexandre de Moraes. That rotten orange cannot be allowed to taint the entire court.'only japantimes.co.jp
  • Evangelical pastor Silas Malafaia and other conservative figures demanded Moraes's removalonly japantimes.co.jp
  • Sao Paulo Gov. Tarcisio de Freitas called for the court to fully investigate allegations surrounding Moraesonly japantimes.co.jp
  • Bolsonaro had been gaining momentum as corruption allegations involving one of Lula's sons and a weakening economy weighed on the leftist president's reelection bidonly japantimes.co.jp

Not yet confirmed against a primary source

  • Confirm the sample frame for the Quaest poll (which population was sampled — e.g., registered voters, voting-age adults, or telephone households). No article specifies who was eligible to be surveyed.

What was checked, and against what

1 of 1 confirmed against a primary source. Every document is linked so you can read the same record we did. Anything not confirmed is listed as such rather than left out.

  • checked No article specifies who was eligible to be surveyed.G1 Globo · establishes that the outlet published it · Since it is impossible to interview all voters in the country, polling institutes establish criteria to select a group of people to represent the population: the sample . The Quaest survey, released this Wednesday, for example, commissioned by Genial Investimentos, interviewed 2,004 people aged 16 or older between June 5th and 8th . The registration number with the TSE (Superior Electoral Court) is BR-07661/2026. Statistical calculations help explain why most people have never been interviewed in an election poll. The chance of a person being selected to participate in a poll that will conduct 1,200 interviews in the city of São Paulo, for example, where there are more than 9 million voters, is one in 7,768 . The probability is very low: 0.013%. But how can a group of about a thousand people express the voting intentions of an entire city? This sampling is defined based on data available from other bodies, such as the IBGE (Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics) and the Superior Electoral Court . The sample needs to reproduce the characteristics of the population that will be represented – the same characteristics in relation to sex, age, education, and income . And you can't volunteer to be interviewed. The choice of who will respond has to be random , to guarantee the representativeness of the sample. In this Wednesday's Quaest poll, the margin of error is 2 percentage points, plus or minus. These statistical calculations also define the survey's confidence level, which is 95%. In other words, it means that if the survey is repeated 100 times, in 95 of them the result will be within the margin of error. · 2026-09-08