What this entry found
- ONLY ONE OUTLET HAD THIS
cyprus-mail.com carried 3 details no other outlet reported.
- In a first-round scenario, Lula is seen leading with 43.0% of the vote, followed by Bolsonaro (37.4%), Augusto Cury (6.6%) and Renan Santos (6.5%)
- The previous poll showed Lula at 43.4% and Bolsonaro at 33.7% in the first round
- If no candidate wins more than 50% of valid votes in the October 4 first round, the two frontrunners advance to a runoff on October 25
How the poll was reported
6 of 6 stated across the articles in this entry.
- The articles describe a sampled poll rather than an opt-in one.
- Pollster: AtlasIntel.
- Commissioned by: Bloomberg.
- Who was sampled: Brazilian voters (presumed from context; not explicitly stated in excerpts).
- Sample size: 5,000 people.
- Margin of error: 1 percentage point.
- When conducted: September 4–9, 2026.
- Question wording published: not in any article.
This lists what the articles said and did not say. A detail missing here may appear in the pollster's own release; it was not in the coverage.
An AtlasIntel/Bloomberg poll conducted September 4–9 among 5,000 Brazilian voters shows Senator Flavio Bolsonaro and President Lula statistically tied in a simulated October runoff, with Bolsonaro at 46.4% and Lula at 46.2%. The poll has a 1-percentage-point margin of error.
2 of 4 articles were readable. Headline only, no body text retrieved, for: marketscreener.com, reuters.com. Nothing below is drawn from those outlets beyond their headline.
Who reported it
- reuters.comWIRE
- cyprus-mail.comUNCLASSIFIED
- marketscreener.comUNCLASSIFIED
- theprint.inUNCLASSIFIED
References
- reuters.comBolsonaro, Lula statistically tied in simulated Brazil runoff, Atlas/Bloomberg poll showsScreenshot as publishedOriginalcaptured 2026-09-11T11:31:37
- cyprus-mail.comBolsonaro, Lula statistically tied in simulated Brazil runoff, Atlas/Bloomberg poll shows - cyprus-mail.comScreenshot as publishedOriginalcaptured 2026-09-11T11:31:37
- marketscreener.comBolsonaro, Lula statistically tied in simulated Brazil runoff, Atlas/Bloomberg poll showsScreenshot as publishedOriginalcaptured 2026-09-11T11:31:37
- theprint.inBolsonaro, Lula statistically tied in simulated Brazil runoff, Atlas/Bloomberg poll showsScreenshot as publishedOriginalcaptured 2026-09-11T11:31:37
Carried by multiple outlets
- Senator Flavio Bolsonaro and President Lula are statistically tied in a simulated runoffcyprus-mail.com, theprint.in
- Flavio Bolsonaro would receive 46.4% in a second-round runoff versus Lula's 46.2%cyprus-mail.com, theprint.in
- In late August, Lula led the senator 47.1% to 42.6%cyprus-mail.com, theprint.in
- AtlasIntel surveyed 5,000 people between September 4 and 9cyprus-mail.com, theprint.in
- The poll has a margin of error of 1 percentage pointcyprus-mail.com, theprint.in
- Flavio Bolsonaro is the eldest son of former President Jair Bolsonarocyprus-mail.com, theprint.in
- and 1 more, not shown
Reported by one outlet only
- In a first-round scenario, Lula is seen leading with 43.0% of the vote, followed by Bolsonaro (37.4%), Augusto Cury (6.6%) and Renan Santos (6.5%)only cyprus-mail.com
- The previous poll showed Lula at 43.4% and Bolsonaro at 33.7% in the first roundonly cyprus-mail.com
- If no candidate wins more than 50% of valid votes in the October 4 first round, the two frontrunners advance to a runoff on October 25only cyprus-mail.com



