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OUTLETS DISAGREESaturday 12 September 2026

Outlets disagree: The probability traders assigned to a Fed rate hike after the inflation report release

cnn.com reports 90% (up from 70% previous day); morningstar.com reports 85% (up from 72% previous day and ~50% one month prior) the full text

As published

8 pages captured at the time, in each outlet's own typography. Open one to read the copy held outside the publisher's control.

Same storyLater: The Federal Reserve is expected to raise interest rates by 25 basis points at its policy…Each entry records what was published on its own date and is not edited afterwards.

What this entry found

  • ONLY ONE OUTLET HAD THIS

    thedailystar.net carried 7 details no other outlet reported.

    • The European Central Bank raised eurozone borrowing costs, citing effects on energy costs from Middle East conflict
    • The Iran-backed Houthis in Yemen conducted an offensive that broadened the U.S.-Iran conflict
    • American diesel costs reached record levels
    • Major Wall Street indices posted solid gains after four straight negative sessions
    • European stocks closed higher, with Paris and Frankfurt finishing up 0.8 percent
    • Cresset Capital Management's Jack Ablin stated investors are resigned to a Fed rate hike next week
    • Patrick O'Hare, chief market analyst at Briefing.com, stated the market had already been absorbing the likelihood of a rate hike through the past week's sell-off
8independent outlets
What happened, for context

August 2026 U.S. Consumer Price Index data showed inflation at 3.4% annually, unchanged from July but above the Federal Reserve's 2% target. The report prompted market assessments of the probability of a Fed rate hike at the central bank's September meeting scheduled for the following week.

5 of 8 articles were readable. Headline only, no body text retrieved, for: bnnbloomberg.ca, reuters.com, thehill.com. Nothing below is drawn from those outlets beyond their headline.

Who reported it

  • reuters.comWIRE
  • bnnbloomberg.caUNCLASSIFIED
  • cnn.comINDEP
  • investopedia.comUNCLASSIFIED
  • morningstar.comUNCLASSIFIED
  • thedailystar.netUNCLASSIFIED
  • theglobeandmail.comUNCLASSIFIED
  • thehill.comINDEP

References

Carried by multiple outlets

  • Consumer Price Index rose 3.4% on an annual basis in August 2026, unchanged from Julycnn.com, investopedia.com, morningstar.com, thedailystar.net
  • Core inflation (excluding food and energy) rose 2.4% annually in August 2026cnn.com, investopedia.com
  • The Federal Reserve's 2% inflation target was not being metinvestopedia.com, morningstar.com, thedailystar.net
  • Fed officials were scheduled to meet in the week following the inflation report to decide on interest ratescnn.com, investopedia.com, morningstar.com
  • The inflation report strengthened or increased the case for a Federal Reserve rate hikecnn.com, investopedia.com, morningstar.com
  • Gasoline or oil prices contributed significantly to the inflation increasecnn.com, morningstar.com, thedailystar.net
  • and 1 more, not shown

Reported by one outlet only

  • Monthly basis prices rose 0.4% in August, an acceleration from July's 0.1% rateonly cnn.com
  • Gasoline prices up 3.9% accounted for a third of the monthly price increaseonly cnn.com
  • Core inflation on a monthly basis rose 0.3%only cnn.com, investopedia.com
  • Traders boosted the odds of a rate hike to 90% from 70% the day before the report, according to CME FedWatchonly cnn.com
  • Odds of a quarter-point hike are hovering around 85% according to CME FedWatch, up from 72% the previous day and less than 50% a month prioronly morningstar.com
  • The August core inflation figure of 0.3% monthly was higher than the anticipated 0.2%only investopedia.com

Reported unevenly

  • The probability traders assigned to a Fed rate hike after the inflation report releasestated by cnn.com reports 90% (up from 70% previous day), morningstar.com reports 85% (up from 72% previous day and ~50% one month prior)