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REWRITTEN AFTER PUBLISHINGThursday 17 September 2026

nytimes.com changed its headline after publishing.

Video : Why Our Poll Shows Democrats Leading inAhead of the HouseMidterms

Multiple outlets reported on polling conducted ahead of U.S. midterm elections showing Democratic advantage over Republicans in voter preference.

foxnews.com as captured

As published

4 pages captured at the time, in each outlet's own typography. Open one to read the copy held outside the publisher's control.

foxnews.com as published: Poll shows voters favor Democrats for midtermsfoxnews.com2026-09-18 11:56:11nytimes.com as published: Video: Why Our Poll Shows Democrats Leading Ahead of the Midtermsnytimes.com2026-09-18 11:56:11usatoday.com as published: New poll shows Democrats have advantage in midterm electionsusatoday.com2026-09-18 11:56:11yougov.com as published: Independents give Democrats a big midterms lead among likely votersyougov.com2026-09-18 11:56:11

What this entry found

  • ONLY ONE OUTLET HAD THIS

    yougov.com carried 9 details no other outlet reported.

    • The Economist / YouGov Poll showed 51% of likely voters saying they would vote for the Democratic candidate in their districts, while 39% would vote for the Republican candidate, an 11-point lead
    • Independents favored Democrats by about a two-to-one ratio: 54% say they'll vote for Democratic candidates and 27% for Republican candidates
    • About 90% of Democrats and about 90% of Republicans say they'll vote for their party's candidate
    • Women favor Democrats by more than 20 points (56% vs. 35%)
    • Adults under 30 overwhelmingly support Democratic candidates (68% vs. 27%)
    • Democrats lead among 30- to 44-year-olds (51% vs. 34%) and those 65 and older (50% vs. 43%)
    • 45- to 64-year-olds are evenly divided (45% vs. 45%)
    • Men who are likely voters are evenly split between Democratic and Republican candidates (45% vs. 45%)
    • Likely voters are defined as U.S. adult citizens who are either registered to vote (74% of all adult citizens) or say they will be registered by November elections (5%), and who either say they will definitely vote in November or have already voted (73% of those registered or planning to register, and 57% of all citizens)

How the poll was reported

2 of 6 stated across the articles in this entry.

  • The articles describe a sampled poll rather than an opt-in one.
  • Pollster: Economist / YouGov Poll.
  • Who was sampled: U.S. adult citizens who are registered to vote or say they will be registered by November elections, and who say they will definitely vote in November or have already voted.
  • Commissioned by: not stated in any article.
  • Sample size: not stated in any article.
  • Margin of error: not stated in any article.
  • When conducted: not stated in any article.
  • Question wording published: not in any article.

This lists what the articles said and did not say. A detail missing here may appear in the pollster's own release; it was not in the coverage.

4independent outlets
What happened, for context

Multiple outlets reported on polling conducted ahead of U.S. midterm elections showing Democratic advantage over Republicans in voter preference. The Economist / YouGov Poll showed Democrats leading among likely voters, with particular strength among independents, women, and younger voters.

2 of 4 articles were readable. Headline only, no body text retrieved, for: nytimes.com, usatoday.com. Nothing below is drawn from those outlets beyond their headline.

Who reported it

  • foxnews.comINDEP
  • nytimes.comINDEP
  • usatoday.comINDEP
  • yougov.comUNCLASSIFIED

References

Carried by multiple outlets

  • A poll showed voters favoring Democrats for midterm electionsfoxnews.com, nytimes.com, usatoday.com, yougov.com
  • Democrats had a lead among independents in the pollingyougov.com, usatoday.com

Reported by one outlet only

  • The Economist / YouGov Poll showed 51% of likely voters saying they would vote for the Democratic candidate in their districts, while 39% would vote for the Republican candidate, an 11-point leadonly yougov.com
  • Independents favored Democrats by about a two-to-one ratio: 54% say they'll vote for Democratic candidates and 27% for Republican candidatesonly yougov.com
  • About 90% of Democrats and about 90% of Republicans say they'll vote for their party's candidateonly yougov.com
  • Women favor Democrats by more than 20 points (56% vs. 35%)only yougov.com
  • Adults under 30 overwhelmingly support Democratic candidates (68% vs. 27%)only yougov.com
  • Democrats lead among 30- to 44-year-olds (51% vs. 34%) and those 65 and older (50% vs. 43%)only yougov.com

Not yet confirmed against a primary source

  • Confirm whether foxnews.com, nytimes.com, and usatoday.com were reporting on the same Economist / YouGov Poll that yougov.com detailed, or on different polls altogether. The headlines align in timing and message but no outlet cross-references the others or specifies the pollster by name.

What was checked, and against what

Nothing here could be settled from a primary source. 1 cannot be established from public sources and is listed below. Every document is linked so you can read the same record we did. Anything not confirmed is listed as such rather than left out.

  • cannot be established Articles appear to cover midterm elections, but the specific election cycle (2022, 2024, or other) is not stated in provided excerpts. The cluster date is 20260918 (September 18, 2026), which would be after the 2026 midterms, making current attribution to 'midterms' potentially time-inconsistent.The disagreement between outlets is itself the finding. No primary source is needed to report that they differ.